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Climate Change Risk Models

Available: May 2023

climate change projection tool

The PyreClimate web tool will draw on a broad range of inputs, including the pioneering science and risk-forecasting models developed by the other Pyregence teams; climate, vegetation, wildfire, and land use models; and data on weather, vegetation, tree mortality, fire history, land use, construction, and electric system infrastructure. 

Climate Change Projection Team

We’re building a web-based tool that will allow users to engage with a range of scenarios based on future climate change, land use pathways, and land management interventions. Users will be able to simulate the size and intensity of potential wildfires through the end of the century.

These risk projections will support California’s Fifth Climate Change Assessment, helping government agencies and electric utilities make smart policy and planning decisions to protect California in the face of rising wildfire risk linked to climate change.